Week 9 NFL Picks
I am, by no means, a betting man. That being said, predictions are just so much more fun when they are done against the spread. Anybody can tell you the Patriots are going to beat the Giants this week, but do they think it will be by more than a touchdown? Now we’re getting a little bit interesting. So, without further ado, here are my predictions. My picks will be in caps and have the line accompanying them.
Stone Cold Lock of the Week
ATLANTA(-7) at Indianapolis
I don’t think this one needs much explanation. Sure, the Colts are at home and they played the Steelers and Bucs tough in night games several weeks ago, but now Indy is just beat up beyond repair. Joseph Addai is hurt, several key defenders have been playing with injuries and the epic “Painter to Garcon” connection seems to be cooling off. Look for the resurgent Michael Turner to run wild on the Colts’ 31st ranked run defense and for Matt Ryan to sprinkle in a few deep balls to Roddy White.
Oh yeah, and that’s the bottom line cause Stone Cold said so!
Stone Cold Stunner of the Week
BALTIMORE(+3.5) at Pittsburgh
Ok, I just couldn’t help myself, I had to put in another Stone Cold reference. Anyways, if you thought you were going to get all safe picks, you were sadly mistaken. This AFC North showdown is typically a blood bath, and usually the home team is slightly favored. I know the Steelers are riding high after their win over New England, but that victory took a heavy toll on them physically, primarily in their front seven.
The Steelers were already without starting nose tackle Casey Hampton, starting end Aaron Smith and starting linebackers James Harrison and James Farrior before Lamarr Woodley went down against the Patriots. The Steelers ended up using Troy Polamalu, their phenomenal safety, at inside linebacker for the majority of the second half. I am not expecting an emotional letdown from Pittsburgh but, with five starters out in the front seven, I am expecting a physical one.
Remember the Titans?
CINCINNATI(+3) at Tennessee
Seriously, do you remember them?
They were the team that looked like they could be the surprise of the AFC last month. Tennessee had notched an impressive win over Baltimore, and veteran quarterback Matt Hasselbeck was back to his 2005 form. Their defense looked like it just might be one of the best in football, and it seemed a certainty that Chris Johnson would quickly get into playing shape and make them, once again, explosive on the ground.
Well, it didn’t quite work out that way. Tennessee is currently DEAD LAST in the league in rushing, and their defense has gone from elite to below average in three weeks. They bounced back last week with a win over Indianapolis, but had lost their previous two contests against the Steelers and Texans by a combined 55 points.
Now add in the fact that the Bengals bring in the league’s second best rush defense and they’re GETTING points, and Vegas is almost forcing me to pick Cincinnati on the road(a scary thought as well).
Also, while I’m posting videos, here is one of the classic scenes from Disney’s Remember the Titans. I watched the movie with my significant other last night, and in between emotional scenes about race relations and brotherhood, they actually put in a pretty good football speech. If this doesn’t make you want to buckle up a chin-strap and knock the snot out of somebody, well, then, clearly you are just not a very violent person.